Fafo-report 433

Kristin Dalen and Jon Pedersen

The Future Size of the Palestinian Population of the West Bank and Gaza Strip

ISBN 82-7422-428-0
2004 36 p NOK 136,- Order no: 433 Order

Web edition (pdf 441kb) * More publications on this subject

The Palestinian population of the West Bank and Gaza Strip has long had some of the highest growth rates in the world, due to a combination of high fertility and low mortality. Although fertility has recently declined, the age structure of the population implies that the brisk population growth will continue over the coming years. This report presents likely scenarios for this population growth, and traces some of its implications for the delivery of services to society.

Methods and assumptions
Base population
Age-sex distribution
Fertility
Mortality
Migration
Two projection series
The total population
Population structure
Dependency ratios
The number of households
The labour force
Health
Education
Conclusions3